Toulousevs
Hamburger SV
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies Clubs · 8/15/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Toulouse · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Toulouse are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Hamburger SV are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 57.4 against 57.6. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.0% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Toulouse holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 76% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Toulouse
Probability
43.3%
Model confidence
8.0%
Toulouse has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80