Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tottenham · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Tottenham are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Sydney are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Sydney hold a 6.6-point power-rating edge (73.7 v 80.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.0% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Tottenham holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Tottenham
Probability
49.1%
Model confidence
12.0%
Tottenham has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60
GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60