Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Torreense · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Torreense are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Academica are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Torreense hold a 34.4-point power-rating edge (65.7 v 31.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.5% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Torreense holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Torreense
Probability
60.0%
Model confidence
11.5%
Torreense has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80