Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Torquay · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Torquay are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Plymouth are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Plymouth hold a 4.3-point power-rating edge (64.0 v 68.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.2% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Torquay holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Torquay
Probability
36.2%
Model confidence
36.2%
Torquay has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60
GF 13 · GA 5 · avg 2.60/1.00