GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 6/22/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Volga Ulyanovsk · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Torpedo Moskva are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Volga Ulyanovsk are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Volga Ulyanovsk hold a 19.4-point power-rating edge (38.1 v 57.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.8% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Volga Ulyanovsk holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Volga Ulyanovsk

Probability

45.8%

Model confidence

45.8%

Volga Ulyanovsk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Torpedo MoskvaWDWDL

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Volga UlyanovskWLDLD

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Torpedo MoskvaVolga Ulyanovsk
36.1Attack63.9
44.4Defence44.4
25.0Form61.1
38.1Power57.4
1.24xG2.13
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