Toronto IIvs
New York City II
COMPLETEDUSA · MLS Next Pro · 4/24/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
New York City II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Toronto II are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while New York City II are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and New York City II hold a 5.5-point power-rating edge (45.7 v 51.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.1% in the MLS Next Pro, while New York City II holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 75% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
New York City II
Probability
38.1%
Model confidence
38.1%
New York City II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60