GGOALVIO

USA · MLS Next Pro · 8/14/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chattanooga · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Lowconfidence

Toronto II are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Chattanooga are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Chattanooga hold a 13.5-point power-rating edge (45.7 v 59.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.9% in the MLS Next Pro, while Chattanooga holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chattanooga

Probability

51.7%

Model confidence

8.9%

Chattanooga has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Toronto IIWLWLL

GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
ChattanoogaWWWDD

GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Toronto IIChattanooga
55.6Attack62.1
36.5Defence54.5
42.9Form59.1
45.7Power59.2
1.60xG2.30
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