Toronto FCvs
New York Red Bulls
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 3/14/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Toronto FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Toronto FC are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while New York Red Bulls are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and New York Red Bulls hold a 3.3-point power-rating edge (41.8 v 45.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.6% in the Major League Soccer, while Toronto FC holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Toronto FC
Probability
41.6%
Model confidence
41.6%
Toronto FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00