GGOALVIO

USA · Major League Soccer · 8/15/2026, 11:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

New England Revolution · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Toronto FC are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLDDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while New England Revolution are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDWDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and New England Revolution hold a 13.7-point power-rating edge (41.8 v 55.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.1% in the Major League Soccer, while New England Revolution holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

New England Revolution

Probability

50.0%

Model confidence

12.1%

New England Revolution has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Toronto FCDLDDL

GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
New England RevolutionLDWDL

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Toronto FCNew England Revolution
44.4Attack51.9
40.7Defence57.4
31.5Form55.6
41.8Power55.4
1.17xG1.78
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