Toronto FCvs
Columbus Crew
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 3/21/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Columbus Crew · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Toronto FC are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Columbus Crew are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Columbus Crew hold a 4.6-point power-rating edge (41.8 v 46.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.7% in the Major League Soccer, while Columbus Crew holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Columbus Crew
Probability
37.7%
Model confidence
37.7%
Columbus Crew has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40