GGOALVIO

USA · Major League Soccer · 3/21/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Columbus Crew · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Toronto FC are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Columbus Crew are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Columbus Crew hold a 4.6-point power-rating edge (41.8 v 46.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.7% in the Major League Soccer, while Columbus Crew holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Columbus Crew

Probability

37.7%

Model confidence

37.7%

Columbus Crew has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Toronto FCDWLLW

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Columbus CrewLDDLL

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Toronto FCColumbus Crew
44.4Attack48.1
40.7Defence48.1
31.5Form37.0
41.8Power46.3
1.48xG1.60
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