Toronto FCvs
Austin
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 4/18/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Toronto FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Toronto FC are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Austin are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Toronto FC hold a 4.6-point power-rating edge (41.8 v 37.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.4% in the Major League Soccer, while Toronto FC holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Toronto FC
Probability
48.4%
Model confidence
48.4%
Toronto FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80