Toronto FCvsAtlético Ottawa

Toronto FC are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (DLDDD), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Atlético Ottawa are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Atlético Ottawa hold a 34.2-point power-rating edge (15.3 v 49.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.8% in the Canadian Championship, while Atlético Ottawa holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.