Toronto Awaba Stagsvs
Lake Macquarie
COMPLETEDAustralia · NNSW League 1 · 8/15/2026, 4:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lake Macquarie · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-4
Toronto Awaba Stags are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Lake Macquarie are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 3.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Lake Macquarie hold a 38.9-point power-rating edge (33.9 v 72.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.7% in the NNSW League 1, while Lake Macquarie holds the strongest overall chance at 84% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 88% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Lake Macquarie
Probability
84.0%
Model confidence
9.7%
Lake Macquarie has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00
GF 19 · GA 6 · avg 3.80/1.20