GGOALVIO

Australia · NNSW League 1 · 8/15/2026, 4:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Lake Macquarie · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-4

Lowconfidence

Toronto Awaba Stags are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Lake Macquarie are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 3.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Lake Macquarie hold a 38.9-point power-rating edge (33.9 v 72.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.7% in the NNSW League 1, while Lake Macquarie holds the strongest overall chance at 84% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 88% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Lake Macquarie

Probability

84.0%

Model confidence

9.7%

Lake Macquarie has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Toronto Awaba StagsLWLDL

GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Lake MacquarieDWWWW

GF 19 · GA 6 · avg 3.80/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Toronto Awaba StagsLake Macquarie
43.1Attack100.0
23.5Defence54.9
27.5Form74.5
33.9Power72.7
1.16xG4.42
View match centre →