Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Torino · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Torino are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Carrarese are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLDL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Torino hold a 5.2-point power-rating edge (53.0 v 47.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.1% in the Coppa Italia, while Torino holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Torino
Probability
44.9%
Model confidence
12.1%
Torino has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40