Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Torino · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Torino are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Alcione are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Torino hold a 39.6-point power-rating edge (54.9 v 15.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.5% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Torino holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Torino
Probability
45.5%
Model confidence
45.5%
Torino has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20