Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Motala · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Tord are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Motala are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Motala hold a 10.9-point power-rating edge (36.3 v 47.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.5% in the Division 2 - Norra Götaland, while Motala holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Motala
Probability
45.7%
Model confidence
13.5%
Motala has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20