Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tord · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Tord are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LLDDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Lidköping are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Tord hold a 4.8-point power-rating edge (36.9 v 32.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.8% in the Division 2 - Norra Götaland, while Tord holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Tord
Probability
50.8%
Model confidence
50.8%
Tord has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
GF 2 · GA 14 · avg 0.40/2.80