Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Tord are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Kumla are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Kumla hold a 7.0-point power-rating edge (36.9 v 43.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.0% in the Division 2 - Norra Götaland, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
35.0%
Model confidence
35.0%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00