Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ahlafors · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-2
Tord are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDDDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Ahlafors are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Ahlafors hold a 25.2-point power-rating edge (36.9 v 62.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 67.5% in the Division 2 - Norra Götaland, while Ahlafors holds the strongest overall chance at 68% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ahlafors
Probability
67.5%
Model confidence
67.5%
Ahlafors has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00
GF 15 · GA 7 · avg 3.00/1.40