Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Beira-Mar · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Tondela are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Beira-Mar are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Beira-Mar hold a 37.1-point power-rating edge (59.9 v 97.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.7% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Beira-Mar holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Beira-Mar
Probability
34.7%
Model confidence
34.7%
Beira-Mar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60