GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie D · 5/3/2026, 9:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Tombense · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Tombense are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Rio Branco ES are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Tombense hold a 9.6-point power-rating edge (56.8 v 47.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.8% in the Serie D, while Tombense holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 22% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Tombense

Probability

42.8%

Model confidence

42.8%

Tombense has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

TombenseLDWWL

GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60

BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
Rio Branco ESWWDLD

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
TombenseRio Branco ES
36.1Attack44.4
80.6Defence55.6
50.0Form38.9
56.8Power47.2
1.06xG0.57
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