Tombensevs
Rio Branco ES
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie D · 5/3/2026, 9:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tombense · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Tombense are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Rio Branco ES are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Tombense hold a 9.6-point power-rating edge (56.8 v 47.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.8% in the Serie D, while Tombense holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 22% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Tombense
Probability
42.8%
Model confidence
42.8%
Tombense has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20