TombensevsReal Noroeste

Tombense are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WDDLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Real Noroeste are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Tombense hold a 17.1-point power-rating edge (56.8 v 39.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.4% in the Serie D, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 16% BTTS chance and 12% for over 2.5 goals.