Tolucavs
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga MX · 7/22/2026, 3:05:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Toluca · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Toluca are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WDLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while U.N.A.M. - Pumas are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Toluca hold a 5.7-point power-rating edge (67.2 v 61.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.1% in the Liga MX, while Toluca holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Toluca
Probability
44.1%
Model confidence
44.1%
Toluca has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20