GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 1/23/2026, 2:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Roasso Kumamoto · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Tokyo Verdy are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Roasso Kumamoto are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDDLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Roasso Kumamoto hold a 22.4-point power-rating edge (29.3 v 51.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.6% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Roasso Kumamoto holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Roasso Kumamoto

Probability

41.6%

Model confidence

41.6%

Roasso Kumamoto has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Tokyo VerdyLLLLD

GF 4 · GA 13 · avg 0.80/2.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Roasso KumamotoLDDLL

GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.40/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Tokyo VerdyRoasso Kumamoto
40.0Attack41.7
13.3Defence50.0
26.7Form58.3
29.3Power51.7
1.49xG2.05
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