GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 1/16/2026, 2:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Tokyo Verdy · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Lowconfidence

Tokyo Verdy are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLW), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Oita Trinita are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 29.3 against 31.3. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.5% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Tokyo Verdy holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 74% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Tokyo Verdy

Probability

44.6%

Model confidence

8.5%

Tokyo Verdy has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Tokyo VerdyLLDLW

GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Oita TrinitaLLLLW

GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Tokyo VerdyOita Trinita
40.0Attack42.9
13.3Defence23.8
26.7Form19.0
29.3Power31.3
2.13xG1.80
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