GGOALVIO

Japan · J1 League · 2/8/2026, 7:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Tokyo Verdy · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Tokyo Verdy are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Mito Hollyhock are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Mito Hollyhock hold a 5.2-point power-rating edge (31.3 v 36.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.1% in the J1 League, while Tokyo Verdy holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Tokyo Verdy

Probability

36.1%

Model confidence

36.1%

Tokyo Verdy has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Tokyo VerdyLLLLL

GF 4 · GA 15 · avg 0.80/3.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Mito HollyhockLWLLW

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Tokyo VerdyMito Hollyhock
33.3Attack33.3
33.3Defence50.0
16.7Form16.7
31.3Power36.5
1.38xG1.28
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