GGOALVIO

Japan · J1 League · 8/14/2026, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Kashiwa Reysol · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Tokyo Verdy are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Kashiwa Reysol are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Kashiwa Reysol hold a 35.0-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 80.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.5% in the J1 League, while Kashiwa Reysol holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Kashiwa Reysol

Probability

39.7%

Model confidence

13.5%

Kashiwa Reysol has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Tokyo VerdyDLDLW

GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Kashiwa ReysolWDLWW

GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Tokyo VerdyKashiwa Reysol
33.3Attack66.7
66.7Defence66.7
33.3Form100.0
45.3Power80.3
1.26xG1.43
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