Tokyo Verdyvs
Kashima
COMPLETEDJapan · J1 League · 4/29/2026, 4:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kashima · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Tokyo Verdy are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Kashima are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Kashima hold a 40.7-point power-rating edge (31.3 v 72.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.3% in the J1 League, while Kashima holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Kashima
Probability
43.7%
Model confidence
12.3%
Kashima has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40