GGOALVIO

Japan · J1 League · 4/29/2026, 4:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Kashima · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Tokyo Verdy are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Kashima are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Kashima hold a 40.7-point power-rating edge (31.3 v 72.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.3% in the J1 League, while Kashima holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Kashima

Probability

43.7%

Model confidence

12.3%

Kashima has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Tokyo VerdyWDLDL

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
KashimaWWWDW

GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Tokyo VerdyKashima
33.3Attack100.0
33.3Defence0.0
16.7Form100.0
31.3Power72.0
1.33xG1.66
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