GGOALVIO

Japan · J1 League · 4/18/2026, 6:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Tokyo Verdy · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Tokyo Verdy are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while JEF United Chiba are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DWLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Tokyo Verdy hold a 22.3-point power-rating edge (31.3 v 9.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.4% in the J1 League, while Tokyo Verdy holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Tokyo Verdy

Probability

45.4%

Model confidence

45.4%

Tokyo Verdy has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Tokyo VerdyDLDLW

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
JEF United ChibaDWLLL

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Tokyo VerdyJEF United Chiba
33.3Attack0.0
33.3Defence0.0
16.7Form0.0
31.3Power9.0
1.66xG1.16
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