GGOALVIO

Japan · J1 League · 3/22/2026, 5:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Tokyo Verdy · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Tokyo Verdy are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while FC Tokyo are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Tokyo Verdy hold a 6.2-point power-rating edge (31.3 v 25.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.8% in the J1 League, while Tokyo Verdy holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Tokyo Verdy

Probability

39.8%

Model confidence

39.8%

Tokyo Verdy has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Tokyo VerdyLWLLD

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
FC TokyoWDWLW

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Tokyo VerdyFC Tokyo
33.3Attack50.0
33.3Defence0.0
16.7Form16.7
31.3Power25.2
1.58xG1.35
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