Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bars · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Toktogul are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 3.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Bars are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 6 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Bars hold a 24.8-point power-rating edge (39.5 v 64.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.7% in the Premier League, while Bars holds the strongest overall chance at 68% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Bars
Probability
68.3%
Model confidence
9.7%
Bars has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 3.00/2.00
GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00