GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 7/1/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Étoile Carouge · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Étoile Carouge are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 3.40 conceded, while Grand-Saconnex are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and Étoile Carouge hold a 7.5-point power-rating edge (73.5 v 66.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.9% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Étoile Carouge holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 80% BTTS chance and 84% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Étoile Carouge

Probability

44.9%

Model confidence

44.9%

Étoile Carouge has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Étoile CarougeLDLLW

GF 8 · GA 17 · avg 1.60/3.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Grand-SaconnexWLWWW

GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Étoile CarougeGrand-Saconnex
88.9Attack100.0
38.9Defence33.3
83.3Form66.7
73.5Power66.0
2.80xG1.90
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