Étoile CarougevsFC Aarau

Étoile Carouge are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 3.00 conceded, while FC Aarau are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Étoile Carouge hold an 11.1-point power-rating edge (54.9 v 43.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.9% in the Challenge League, while Étoile Carouge holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.