GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie D · 5/2/2026, 9:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Tocantinópolis · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Tocantinópolis are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Tuna Luso are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LWDDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 45.9 against 44.8. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.9% in the Serie D, while Tocantinópolis holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Tocantinópolis

Probability

49.9%

Model confidence

49.9%

Tocantinópolis has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

TocantinópolisDLLDL

GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Tuna LusoLWDDD

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
TocantinópolisTuna Luso
60.0Attack44.4
40.0Defence44.4
40.0Form38.9
45.9Power44.8
2.15xG1.45
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