GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie D · 5/16/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Tocantinópolis · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Tocantinópolis are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Imperatriz are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLDDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Imperatriz hold a 3.3-point power-rating edge (45.9 v 49.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.6% in the Serie D, while Tocantinópolis holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Tocantinópolis

Probability

34.6%

Model confidence

34.6%

Tocantinópolis has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

TocantinópolisWDDLL

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
ImperatrizWLDDW

GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
TocantinópolisImperatriz
60.0Attack40.5
40.0Defence64.3
40.0Form42.9
45.9Power49.2
1.36xG1.34
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