GGOALVIO

Kazakhstan · 1. Division · 7/31/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Shakhter Karagandy · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-4

Highconfidence

Tobol 2 are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Shakhter Karagandy are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Shakhter Karagandy hold a 58.8-point power-rating edge (28.9 v 87.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 88.2% in the 1. Division, while Shakhter Karagandy holds the strongest overall chance at 88% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 86% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Shakhter Karagandy

Probability

88.2%

Model confidence

88.2%

Shakhter Karagandy has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Tobol 2LLLDL

GF 9 · GA 13 · avg 1.80/2.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Shakhter KaragandyWWWWW

GF 11 · GA 2 · avg 2.20/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Tobol 2Shakhter Karagandy
51.9Attack94.4
11.1Defence87.0
18.5Form90.7
28.9Power87.7
0.85xG4.50
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