Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ekibastuz · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Tobol 2 are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 3.40 conceded, while Ekibastuz are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLDWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Ekibastuz hold an 18.1-point power-rating edge (28.9 v 47.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.2% in the 1. Division, while Ekibastuz holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 76% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ekibastuz
Probability
45.2%
Model confidence
45.2%
Ekibastuz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 17 · avg 1.80/3.40
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60