Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tobol 2 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Tobol 2 are 0W-1D-3L in their last 4 (LLLD), averaging 0.75 scored and 2.50 conceded, while Arys are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 9 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Arys hold a 3.5-point power-rating edge (28.9 v 32.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.6% in the 1. Division, while Tobol 2 holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 75% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Tobol 2
Probability
48.6%
Model confidence
48.6%
Tobol 2 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.75/2.50
GF 3 · GA 13 · avg 0.60/2.60