Tirol/CEFATvs
Ferroviario
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie D · 6/1/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Tirol/CEFAT are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Ferroviario are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Ferroviario hold a 15.0-point power-rating edge (46.0 v 60.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.8% in the Serie D, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 28% BTTS chance and 19% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
42.8%
Model confidence
42.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60
GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60