Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Třinec · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1
Třinec are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Púchov are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWDL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Třinec hold a 33.0-point power-rating edge (72.5 v 39.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.9% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Třinec holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 86% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Třinec
Probability
58.9%
Model confidence
58.9%
Třinec has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80
GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40