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Tikveš logoTikvešvsShkëndija Haraçinë logoShkëndija Haraçinë

SCHEDULED

Macedonia · First League · 8/15/2026, 2:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Tikveš · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Tikveš are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWD), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Shkëndija Haraçinë are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWD), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Tikveš hold a 5.0-point power-rating edge (50.4 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.5% in the First League, while Tikveš holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Tikveš

Probability

40.5%

Model confidence

14.5%

Tikveš has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

TikvešWWDWD

GF 15 · GA 5 · avg 3.00/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Shkëndija HaraçinëDDWWD

GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 2/5
TikvešShkëndija Haraçinë
41.4Attack33.3
59.6Defence66.7
44.4Form33.3
50.4Power45.3
1.24xG1.00
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