GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga MX · 7/26/2026, 3:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Tigres UANL · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Tigres UANL are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Atletico San Luis are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Atletico San Luis hold a 10.7-point power-rating edge (29.5 v 40.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.5% in the Liga MX, while Tigres UANL holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Tigres UANL

Probability

36.5%

Model confidence

36.5%

Tigres UANL has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Tigres UANLLLWWD

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Atletico San LuisLWWWD

GF 13 · GA 5 · avg 2.60/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Tigres UANLAtletico San Luis
55.6Attack44.4
11.1Defence44.4
11.1Form22.2
29.5Power40.2
1.62xG1.57
View match centre →