GGOALVIO

Colombia · Primera B · 3/3/2026, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Tigres FC are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Real Cartagena are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Real Cartagena hold a 12.2-point power-rating edge (45.6 v 57.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.4% in the Primera B, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 22% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

41.4%

Model confidence

41.4%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Tigres FCLLDLW

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Real CartagenaLWWDW

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Tigres FCReal Cartagena
27.5Attack51.3
66.7Defence62.8
36.2Form56.4
45.6Power57.8
0.63xG0.97
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