Tigres FCvs
Real Cartagena
COMPLETEDColombia · Primera B · 3/3/2026, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Tigres FC are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Real Cartagena are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Real Cartagena hold a 12.2-point power-rating edge (45.6 v 57.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.4% in the Primera B, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 22% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
41.4%
Model confidence
41.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00