Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Tigres FC are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DDDLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Popayan are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLW), averaging 0.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Tigres FC hold a 2.9-point power-rating edge (45.6 v 42.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.5% in the Primera B, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 24% BTTS chance and 15% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
46.5%
Model confidence
46.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
GF 1 · GA 3 · avg 0.20/0.60