Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Tigres FC are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLDL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Patriotas are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLDL), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Patriotas hold a 2.4-point power-rating edge (45.6 v 48.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.7% in the Primera B, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 25% BTTS chance and 15% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
46.7%
Model confidence
46.7%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40
GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.40/0.80