Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Tigres FC are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WDDDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Orsomarso are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 45.6 against 47.2. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.9% in the Primera B, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 19% BTTS chance and 10% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
51.9%
Model confidence
51.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20