Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Tigres FC are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Envigado are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Envigado hold a 17.6-point power-rating edge (45.6 v 63.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.6% in the Primera B, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 24% BTTS chance and 16% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
43.6%
Model confidence
43.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 5 · avg 0.20/1.00
GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40