Tigre Res.vsSarmiento Res.

Tigre Res. are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Sarmiento Res. are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Sarmiento Res. hold a 3.5-point power-rating edge (40.2 v 43.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.4% in the Reserve League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 27% BTTS chance and 17% for over 2.5 goals.