GGOALVIO

Argentina · Reserve League · 6/19/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

San Lorenzo Res. · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Tigre Res. are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.20 conceded, while San Lorenzo Res. are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and San Lorenzo Res. hold a 12.3-point power-rating edge (40.2 v 52.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.9% in the Reserve League, while San Lorenzo Res. holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 24% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

San Lorenzo Res.

Probability

37.9%

Model confidence

37.9%

San Lorenzo Res. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Tigre Res.LLLLL

GF 2 · GA 11 · avg 0.40/2.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
San Lorenzo Res.DLDLW

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Tigre Res.San Lorenzo Res.
27.3Attack40.9
54.5Defence62.1
30.3Form48.5
40.2Power52.5
0.64xG1.06
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