Tigre Res.vsInstituto Res.

Tigre Res. are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Instituto Res. are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Instituto Res. hold an 8.3-point power-rating edge (40.2 v 48.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.1% in the Reserve League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 29% BTTS chance and 20% for over 2.5 goals.